Reasons and Facts Behind the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Matthew 24: For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom, and there will be famines and earthquakes in place after place; All this is but the beginning [the early pains] of the birth pangs [of the intolerable anguish]. And the love of the great body of people will grow cold because of the multiplied lawlessness and iniquity, But he who endures to the end will be saved.

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine is all over the news, it makes sense to wonder why it happened. People have asked if this invasion was inevitable and if it would happen on purpose or accidentally.

Russia and Ukraine are at war, and thousands of people have died.

What are the real reasons behind this fight? Is this the start of the Third World War? Or does it go deeper than that?

In this post, I will discuss the likely reasons why Russia and Ukraine are at war. I’ll talk about how this conflict started and how it could play out in the future from two different points of view.

This will help you understand more about what could happen in 2022.

What caused the crisis in Ukraine?

Russia and Ukraine, which are at odds in the growing Ukrainian crisis, have been at odds for a long time.

From where we are now, it seems obvious that this would happen. The two countries have never been good neighbors, and for the last 20 years, they have been heading toward a fight.

Since 2014, when a series of protests called the Euromaidan began in Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, the country has been in a state of crisis.

On November 21, 2013, when Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych turned away from the European Union and signed a deal with Russia instead, people took to the streets to protest.

On November 22, 2013, protesters and police began to fight with each other. Protesters pulled up barricades and took over City Hall. They also surrounded the Parliament building and occupied it. At first, the Euromaidan protests were peaceful, but they turned violent in January 2014 after a series of laws meant to punish protesters failed to pass.

After police broke up a pro-Euromaidan rally, the violence got worse. When Parliament passed laws against protests on February 18, the situation in Ukraine became really dangerous (which was later repealed).

Instead of making deals with Europe, President Yanukovych ran away to Russia.

Protests by groups opposed to the government happened in Donetsk and Luhansk, Ukraine, which are often called the “Donbass” as a whole.

The separatist forces of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DPR and LPR, respectively) and the Ukrainian government went to war over these protests.

The military conflict began on February 20, 2014, when people in civilian clothes seized buildings of the regional state administration in Donetsk. A few days later, they did the same thing in Luhansk (Lugansk).

Donetsk and Luhansk are now known as Novorossiya, and they have declared independence from Ukraine (New Russia). Ethnic Russians who lived in these areas and wanted to join Russia and become citizens of the Russian Federation helped to start this movement.

In March 2014, Russia annexed Crimea. The annexation happened after a vote that showed that more than 95% of the people wanted it to happen.

So, Russia kept Russians living in Crimea safe from threats from Kyiv.

Between 2014 and 2022, many civilians died because of the 8-year war in Donbass and the constant shelling. Numerous other people have lost their homes and other things.

Since this war started in 2014, there has been a lot of violence in Donetsk and other parts of eastern Ukraine.

Minsk II, a peace deal since 2015, has not been able to end the war or give Kyiv control over eastern Ukraine.

Other Causes of Trouble for Ukraine in 2022

Ukraine is also in a deep economic crisis. This is due to years of bad management, corruption, and lack of reforms, which led to a lot of debt. The situation has become even worse because the value of the Ukrainian hryvnia has dropped sharply. Since the beginning of 2014, it has lost more than half of its value.

The country is also very divided about whether Ukraine should join NATO. Most Ukrainians would rather not join NATO, according to recent polls. Still, the presidents of Ukraine said that their country would try to join NATO at some point in the future.

The European Union, the U.S., Canada, and Japan have all put economic sanctions on Russia. At first, these sanctions only affected a few people, but now they affect whole parts of the Russian economy.

The conflict in Ukraine from 2014 to 2022 has started a new time of tension between the East and the West. Since the beginning of the 20th century, the United States and Russia have been at odds with each other. However, the recent events in Ukraine are different because they could lead to a direct military clash between the two countries.

The U.S. and Europe have been sending weapons to Kyiv, but it’s not likely that will change how the war turns out. Most likely, it will make things worse. At some point, something will happen that could start a bigger fight.

This is Europe’s biggest, most complicated, and most important crisis since the end of the Cold War.

But we also need to see clearly what this crisis isn’t yet:

  • It is not a threat to Europe’s security that could end the world;
  • It’s not a new Cold War;
  • It is not a major threat to the international order that has been in place since 1991, nor does it change the way the world works.

Furthermore, it is important to know what this geopolitical struggle is all about so that we don’t downplay or overplay its importance and make things worse.

Why are Russia and Ukraine fighting with each other?

In February 2022, pro-Russian forces moved into the eastern part of Ukraine, which was the start of the intervention. The Russian invasion force quickly beat the Ukrainian military because they were better trained and had better equipment. Russia started an air campaign against Ukrainian forces, which caused a lot of damage to the Ukrainian air force and made the conflict worse.

At first glance, it looks like Russia is coming into Ukraine and taking over. But let’s look deeper.

Here are two different ideas about why Russia went into Ukraine.

Getting the USSR back together

Here’s what Ukraine and the rest of the West think: “Russia wants the old Soviet Union to come back. Russia invaded Ukraine because it wanted to take over more land there and didn’t care what would happen.”

Ukraine used to be part of the USSR, so Russia wanted to take control of the country again.

All of this is part of a plan by Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia. He wants to oversee all the countries in the area so that he can be responsible for everything.

If Russia invades Ukraine (Syria), it could take over Poland and Lithuania in Eastern Europe, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan in Central Asia, Azerbaijan in the South Caucasus, and the Middle East.

At the end of 1991, the Soviet Union broke up, but Russia still has a lot of “nominal” allies.

So, Russia wants to re-establish a sphere of influence over its neighbors like the Soviet Union and make itself heard again on the world stage.

Politics in Ukraine takes up so much time and effort because Vladimir Putin wants Ukraine to be a part of his Russian Empire. And more than anything else, he aims to bring back the USSR, or at least a new version of the Soviet Union led by Russia.

So, Vladimir Putin wants to bring Russia back to its former glory and bring it up to the same level as the US.

Rescuing Russian Citizens in the Donbass Region

“Russia invaded because Russians in Ukraine were being attacked, and Russia wanted to protect them,” was Russia’s answer.

In 2014, people in Ukraine rose against the government of President Viktor Yanukovych, who had been in power since 2010 and was seen by many Ukrainians as being too pro-Russian. Yanukovych ran away to Russia after the coup, and a new government that was very anti-Russian was put in place.

This new government started to hurt ethnic Russians in the east of Ukraine because they spoke Russian and were more loyal to Russia than to Ukraine.

Many ethnic Russians who live in eastern Ukraine still think that their area should be part of Russia instead of Ukraine.

Because of this, Ukrainian nationalists attacked Russians living in the east of Ukraine for eight years, and the government of Ukraine did nothing to stop them. The government of Russia had to do something.

Russia invaded Ukraine to defend the rights of ethnic Russians in the east of the country, who were being attacked by the Ukrainian army.

Even if they don’t have Russian passports, Russia is entitled to protect Russians who live outside of Russia.

For example, Russia did not invade Crimea. By a large majority, the people of Crimea voted to join Russia. In Crimea, there were about 10 times as many Russians as Ukrainians, so the referendum was very democratic.

Since many years ago, the US and NATO have been making Russia angry. They have been building up their military aggressively in Eastern Europe and the Baltic States, with the goal of surrounding Russia. Along with these military moves, there has been a campaign of false information about a supposed threat from Russia.

The coup in Kyiv that was backed by the US was an attack on the government of Ukraine. Who made the first move? Who did it? Russia, the United States, or its allies?

A show of how strong the military is

Ukraine: “Putin’s main goal is to show that Russia is strong militarily and to keep his power by uniting the country against a common enemy.”

Russia’s political goals include making sure Ukraine stays a friendly neighbor so that Europe doesn’t try to “pull it into its orbit” and so that NATO and the US don’t move eastward.

Michael Kofman, a Russian military specialist at CNA Corp., said Putin is reminding the U.S. and Europe that Russia is a major participant in international events and can’t be ignored or pushed about.

The Russian Federation wants to keep its neighbors weak and divided, so they can’t be strong enough to stand up to Russian aggression.

In a recent article from Reuters, it was said that Russian President Vladimir Putin is using military exercises to keep the West guessing about his strategic plans. This is similar to how NATO did things during the Cold War.

There is no doubt that a lot of evidence points in this direction. For example, as a response to political tensions over Ukraine, the Russian military has been running a number of large-scale and sudden drills. The Vostok (East) 2014, which took place in September in the eastern part of Russia, was the most recent and biggest one. It involved 80,000 troops, 1,000 tanks, and hundreds of planes and ships.

In addition to these large-scale strategic exercises, Russia has also conducted a few smaller exercises in its Western Military District, where troops are stationed near the border with Ukraine. On average, at least 10,000 troops have taken part in these drills.

According to the Reuters article, these multiple exercises are a way for Russia to keep NATO on edge by doing unexpected drills in sensitive areas like the Baltics.

So, what is he doing? The most likely reason is that he wants to show the world that Russia is strong and that he has done a good job of strengthening it.

After the coup, Ukraine went to war with itself.

Russia: “The US oversees the Ukrainian government, which is fighting a civil war against its own people and trying to change the government in a way that is against the law and the constitution.”

The civil war in Ukraine is not really a civil war. Instead, it is an attack by countries outside of Ukraine that want to weaken the country by making it go bankrupt.

The Ukrainian government is corrupt and neoliberal, and the US intends to keep its power in the area by using Ukraine as a base for military action against Russia in the future.

The US wishes to take advantage of Ukraine’s rich mineral resources, and in their economic war, they are using Russia as a scapegoat (someone who is blamed for everything).

The Ukrainian government is corrupt and will do anything to stay in power, even terrible things to its own people.

The US is paying for these terrible things to happen by giving them money and weapons to keep going until they reach their goal of taking over all of Ukraine.

The United States wants to use Ukraine as a base to attack Russia and take advantage of its rich mineral resources.

The US is using Ukraine as a pawn in its game of economic warfare against Russia. This has been going on since 2014, when sanctions were put on Russia for supposedly “invading Crimea.”

They have also used social media sites like Twitter and Facebook to spread false information about what is going on there, so people don’t realize how much they are involved in this conflict. All of this is part of their plan to hurt Russia’s economy by making sure they don’t have any money left over after they take Ukraine.

Ukraine is occupied by the US, and it’s not just because of oil pipelines. They have a lot more to gain than just money from this change in government. It’s about who has the most power.

The US also wants Ukraine because it is in a strategic place. Ukraine is important for both trade routes and military reasons because it is in a good spot between Europe and Asia.

Greed

Ukraine: “Russia is a power-hungry and greedy country.”

Russia is a greedy country that wants the White House for itself.
Since the 1950s, Russia has been trying to influence U.S. elections. The problem is that they’ve gotten better and smarter at it, and now they’re going after US democracy itself.

Putin was able to get more support at home after he took over Crimea, and his involvement in Syria gave him a platform in the Middle East from which to show Russia’s power around the world. He has helped Iran and North Korea stay alive, so they can stand up to the US.

Relations between the U.S. and Russia are getting worse, so Russia is seeking new friends, some of whom are America’s enemies. Russia’s economic ties with China have grown, and Russia has offered to sell China the S-400 Triumph, its most advanced anti-aircraft system, which could threaten American planes in Asia if it were put there.

Russia’s actions are not like those of a traditional great power like Germany or China. Instead, they are like those of a country that wants to be the world’s leader and is a threat to U.S. interests.

The danger of NATO moving eastward

Russia: “NATO expansion was seen as an existential threat by Russia, and if nothing had been done to stop it, it would have led directly to war (nuclear war).”

Moscow is worried that Ukraine will join NATO and put Western troops on its border with Russia.

Russia got involved because NATO was growing and there was a chance that the West would put military bases near its borders.

The actions of Russia are a response to the actions of the USA, which were meant to stop Ukraine from being a neutral buffer state between the EU and Russia.

Russia will step in to stop Ukraine from joining NATO, just as the U.S. steps in to stop Mexico and Canada from joining a group with Russia (and establishing Russian military bases on their territory).

Putin has not shown that he wants to bring back the Soviet Union. He wants the buffer zone back, but he hasn’t tried to take over any other satellite countries or former Soviet republics.

Russia does not want Western troops on its doorstep, either.

Russia doesn’t have to protect the people of Donbass by law, but it should because it’s the right thing to do.

People in the Donbass speak Russian and have always been a part of Russia. In 1953, Khrushchev gave them to Ukraine because he was drunk and angry.

The situation in Ukraine is terrible and needs to be fixed peacefully.

The U.S. should care more about what’s best for Ukrainians and Russians than what’s best for European and American governments, which have their own plans.

The media in the West have called Russia’s actions “aggression” and a plan to bring back the Soviet Union. On the other hand, Russia has good reasons to worry about its own safety and economy.

4 Other Points of View on Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

Russia wants to take oil and other natural resources from Ukraine and take control of its ports, so it can get to the Black Sea and Mediterranean Sea.

Ukraine also has natural gas reserves that are so valuable that they are worth going to war with Europe over. As long as Putin oversees Ukraine, Moscow will have a lot of power over the many European countries that depend on its energy resources.

Russia was upset that Ukraine was now focusing on the EU and didn’t want Russia to be involved in its own affairs.

Meyer, who was the British ambassador to the US from 1997 to 2003, told CNBC that he thinks Putin can’t afford not to invade. “In terms of culture and language, the Ukrainians are very, very close to Europe. The Russians have always feared being surrounded.

Moscow’s view of geopolitics is that it is wrong for the West to try to take over former Soviet territories.

6 Additional Russian Views on the Invasion of Ukraine

Russia and Ukraine are one people and nation because they share the same culture, language, history, and geography.

Russia is trying to keep the world and its own future safe from a nuclear disaster. It is trying to stop a nuclear attack and a third world war.

The Ukrainian government is bad, and the Russian government wants to get rid of it. After the 2014 coup in Ukraine, many seats in parliament were taken by Svoboda, UNA-UNSO, Right Sector, National Corps, and OUN Volunteer Rukh, all of which are banned in Russia.

The leaders of these groups called for the creation of a “corporatist-syndicalist” state, which is basically the same thing as a Nazi government.

“We didn’t start this war,” said Lavrov. We’re ending it.” A war has been going on for a long time, and it’s time for it to end.

When you think about the war with Nazi Germany, the new military action in Ukraine should be seen as a preventive strike. Vladimir Putin, the leader of Russia, said recently that his country will not repeat the “mistake” of trying to make peace with the USSR’s enemies, like Nazi Germany, before World War II. The Russian president thinks that this way of dealing with enemies is wrong and that Russia can’t afford to do it again.

Even though Russia said it wouldn’t attack and asked for talks, the U.S. and NATO kept saying that Russia would attack Ukraine.

So, the U.S. and NATO sped up arming Kyiv, which made the conflict worse. This was shown by the fact that overnight, all the U.S.’s allies agreed to put sanctions on Russia that will hurt its economy.

Russia saw the Western mantra of Russian aggression as preparation for an assault.

When will the war stop?

Will Russia tell the military operation to stop? Who will stop the fighting?

We think the Russian military will stay in Ukraine until they have achieved their goals: “The complete liberation of the Donbass and the end of all Nazism in the country. People who gave orders to kill in the Donbass for many years will be put on trial.”

It’s hard to say when something like this will happen.

Between winter 2022 and spring 2023, it might be possible to achieve the goals.

Before a political solution to the conflict with separatists in eastern Ukraine can be found, Ukraine must make sure that the Nazi battalions and followers of Bandera and Shukhevich are brought to justice.

For years, the DNR and LNR, the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation, have been keeping track of every death, every siege, and every terrorist attack.

The names of every commander who issued orders are known. Furthermore, Russia has accused individuals of being responsible for each terrorist act, as well as the deaths of journalists and prominent Ukrainian leaders.

Russia probably won’t send suspects in its conflict with Ukraine to The Hague. Instead, they will be tried by a Russian military court, just like in Chechnya.

Before Ukraine can have free and fair elections, there must be peace. The people of Ukraine should choose their leaders from among those who aren’t tied to the criminal regime and are willing to work toward peace.

It’s likely that Ukraine will stay a state, but how and where it will be a state is still up for discussion. It could become a group of independent regions where each person is free to think and speak in his or her own language.

The Donbass republics, which were given the right to be independent, might decide to join Russia. After the referendum, other places will have the same chance.

Is there going to be a World War 3?

The relationship between the West and Russia is probably the most dangerous in the world right now. Both sides have been mistrustful of each other for a long time. NATO and Russia have also been building up their forces on both sides of Europe’s borders. This has caused people to worry that a small problem could turn into a full-scale war that would quickly turn nuclear.

And that could mean the end of all people. As the number of nuclear weapons has grown and technology has moved forward, so has our ability to destroy ourselves. If a country launches a nuclear weapon accidentally or on purpose, it could start a nuclear war that destroys the world and brings about Armageddon.

Many people are asking this as the US and Russia fight over the situation in Ukraine.

But both sides are sure that war is not on the way right now.

But with the US and Russia trading insults about who is to blame for this conflict, it is easy to see how a simple mistake could get out of hand.

According to a remark by Sergey Lavrov, the foreign minister of Russia, “World War III will be nuclear and catastrophic.” The U.S. President, Biden, is an experienced man who has previously said that sanctions are the only viable option for war.

Conclusion

Some reasons why Russia and Ukraine are at war probably overlap, but there are also many other reasons.

In the end, I need to remind you that my content is meant to get you to read more about this important topic.

Tensions between the two countries have been rising for a long time, so it was inevitable that something like a Russian invasion would happen at some point. Even so, it’s natural to wonder how and why this conflict started and if we can guess when or where it will happen again.

No matter where you stand on the issue, what’s essential is that we learn from the past and don’t make the same mistakes that led to this war.

Here are some things you should remember:

  • Russia is not the same thing as the USSR.
  • And Putin is not Stalin.
  • Even though Russia will probably keep invading Ukraine, it won’t cause another Cold War.

Whether you agree with the article’s perspective or not, I hope this post helped you learn more about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict you see on TV.

Lastly, it’s hard to know what will happen in the future. All we can do is make the best guess we can and hope we’re right.

Based on what you know and what you don’t know, it’s up to you to decide which scenario seems more likely.

Let’s all wish that the war in Ukraine would end! Let peace reign!